Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Egnatia vs Skenderbeu Korca

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Charles B.
Penalty Missed
14' Event
Albanese A.
34' Event
Nasr S.

AI Match Summary

KF Egnatia in this Abissnet Superiore matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KF Egnatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
KF Egnatia
30%
Draws
18%
Skenderbeu Korca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KF Egnatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: KF Egnatia at 1.74 per game, Skenderbeu Korca at 1.3.
  • Model gives KF Egnatia a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Abissnet Superiore form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 19%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Egnatia Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.74 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs Skenderbeu Korca
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Egnatia
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Egnatia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Egnatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Albanese A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Loukili K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasr S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Egnatia 67 / 100
Skenderbeu Korca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Egnatia Skenderbeu Korca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Egnatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Egnatia scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Skenderbeu Korca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

KF Egnatia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

KF Egnatia VS Skenderbeu Korca
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Egnatia

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Partizani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Vora
1 : 3
KF Egnatia
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
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Skenderbeu Korca

(Away)
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teuta 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 KF Egnatia 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
3 Dinamo City 5 4 0 1 10:5 12
4 Laci 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 AF Elbasani 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
6 KF Tirana 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
7 Partizani 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
8 Vora 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
9 Skenderbeu Korca 5 0 3 2 5:7 3
10 Vllaznia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)