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KF Elbasani vs Besa Kavaje

Albania Albania

First Division 2020/2021 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
KF Elbasani Logo

KF Elbasani

1 - 2
FT
Besa Kavaje Logo

Besa Kavaje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2020/2021 game between KF Elbasani and Besa Kavaje finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besa Kavaje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
KF Elbasani
30%
Draws
47%
Besa Kavaje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • KF Elbasani haven't matched Besa Kavaje's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Besa Kavaje's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Besa Kavaje have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 17%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Elbasani Besa Kavaje
Matches Played 28 39
Wins 5 20
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1.92
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Besa Kavaje
1:2
Dec 23, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs KF Elbasani
4:0
Dec 16, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Besa Kavaje
1:3
Sep 21, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs KF Elbasani
2:0
Feb 2, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Besa Kavaje
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Elbasani 10 / 100
Besa Kavaje 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Elbasani Besa Kavaje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Besa Kavaje has conceded goals in 72% of their last 39 outings.

Solid form: KF Elbasani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: KF Elbasani scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Besa Kavaje
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Elbasani

(Home)
12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1
Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1
KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Elbasani
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Besa Kavaje

(Away)
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burreli 16 10 4 2 26:10 34
2 Korabi Peshkopi 16 10 3 3 17:8 33
3 Dinamo City 16 10 2 4 23:9 32
4 Vora 16 6 3 7 10:18 21
5 Beselidhja Lezha 16 5 5 6 19:17 20
6 Erzeni Shijak 16 5 4 7 15:13 19
7 KF Oriku 16 4 3 9 7:15 15
8 Partizani II 16 3 6 7 14:25 15
9 Koplik 16 2 4 10 10:26 10
Promotion - First Division 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KF Egnatia 14 9 4 1 25:5 31
2 Tomori Berat 14 9 2 3 23:11 29
3 Pogradeci 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
4 Besa Kavaje 14 6 3 5 19:13 21
5 Lushnja 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
6 Turbina Cerrik 14 4 6 4 14:16 18
7 Flamurtari 14 3 1 10 7:20 10
8 KF Elbasani 14 0 1 13 5:34 1
9 AF Luftetari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - First Division 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)