Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Gostivar vs Napredok

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Division 1 2014/2015
KF Gostivar Logo

KF Gostivar

3 - 1
FT
Napredok Logo

Napredok

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2014/2015 game between KF Gostivar and Napredok finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KF Gostivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Gostivar
15%
Draws
85%
Napredok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napredok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KF Gostivar come out ahead of Napredok on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 20%
Napredok Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Gostivar Napredok
Matches Played 45 29
Wins 21 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.29 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2015 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Napredok
3:1
Nov 8, 2014 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Napredok
6:3
Aug 30, 2014 2. MFL
Napredok vs KF Gostivar
1:1
May 11, 2014 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Napredok
2:3
Nov 24, 2013 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Napredok
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Gostivar 36 / 100
Napredok 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Gostivar Napredok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napredok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napredok let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Napredok registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: KF Gostivar scored in 62% of their last 45 outings.

Scoring Trends

KF Gostivar VS Napredok
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Gostivar

(Home)
18 May
Vardar
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Rabotnicki
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Napredok

(Away)
24 Jan
Pobeda
3 : 0
Napredok
23 May
Vellazerimi
3 : 0
Napredok
16 May
Napredok
2 : 3
Drita
09 May
FK Skopje
4 : 0
Napredok
02 May
Napredok
0 : 1
Gorno Lisice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkupi 27 16 5 6 44:19 53
2 Mladost Carev Dvor 27 14 5 8 40:27 47
3 KF Gostivar 27 12 8 7 31:27 44
4 Makedonija GP 27 11 8 8 29:18 41
5 FK Skopje 27 10 9 8 27:19 39
6 Vellazerimi 27 10 9 8 31:24 39
7 Miravci 27 9 11 7 28:20 38
8 Gorno Lisice 27 10 5 12 29:38 35
9 Drita 27 8 3 16 26:38 27
10 Napredok 27 2 3 22 23:78 9
Relegation - Division 1 2014/2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2014/2015 (Promotion)