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KF Lepenci vs Tefik Canga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
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AI Match Summary

KF Lepenci in this Liga e Pare matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KF Lepenci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
KF Lepenci
30%
Draws
12%
Tefik Canga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KF Lepenci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tefik Canga have won more games recently than KF Lepenci.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
KF Lepenci Clean Sheet 20%
Tefik Canga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Lepenci Tefik Canga
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 1 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 0.64 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga e Pare
KF Lepenci vs Tefik Canga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Lepenci 31 / 100
Tefik Canga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Lepenci Tefik Canga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Lepenci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tefik Canga let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: KF Lepenci stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tefik Canga's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

KF Lepenci VS Tefik Canga
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Lepenci

(Home)
10 Oct
Suhareka
0 : 0
KF Lepenci
03 Oct
KF Lepenci
2 : 1
Tefik Canga
27 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 2
Rilindja
19 Sept
Kika
2 : 1
KF Lepenci
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
Page 1 of 3

Tefik Canga

(Away)
10 Oct
Tefik Canga
0 : 1
Rilindja
03 Oct
KF Lepenci
2 : 1
Tefik Canga
27 Sept
Tefik Canga
1 : 1
Kika
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
11 Sept
Tefik Canga
0 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Rilindja 9 5 2 2 12:8 17
3 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
4 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
5 Suhareka 9 3 4 2 15:10 13
6 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
7 Istogu 9 4 1 4 10:14 13
8 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
9 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
10 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
11 Vellaznimi 9 3 1 5 11:18 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 9 0 3 6 7:14 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)