Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2022/2023

Turbina Cerrik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KF Oriku play Turbina Cerrik in the First Division 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, KF Oriku averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Turbina Cerrik averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, KF Oriku won 0, Turbina Cerrik won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 15, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for KF Oriku and 1.13 for Turbina Cerrik. This points to a KF Oriku double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

KF Oriku

19%

Draws

38%

Turbina Cerrik

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: KF Oriku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

KF Oriku picked up more points recently compared to Turbina Cerrik.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

KF Oriku Clean Sheet 21%

Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	KF Oriku	Turbina Cerrik
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	13	8
Draws	2	4
Losses	19	18
Goals Scored	1.06	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.26	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

KF Oriku vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Nov 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs KF Oriku

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Jul 12, 2020 Kategoria e Parë

KF Oriku vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Jun 6, 2020 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs KF Oriku

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Feb 8, 2020 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs KF Oriku

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Oriku Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahanonu N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Oriku 43 / 100

Turbina Cerrik 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

KF Oriku Turbina Cerrik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: KF Oriku or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KF Oriku attacking → ← attacking Turbina Cerrik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Oriku scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

Turbina Cerrik let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

KF Oriku went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Turbina Cerrik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 28

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skenderbeu Korca	26	13	10	3	37:13	49
2	Dinamo Tirana	26	14	5	7	48:23	47
3	Flamurtari	26	13	7	6	40:16	46
4	Tomori Berat	26	13	4	9	29:27	43
5	Korabi Peshkopi	26	10	9	7	32:24	39
6	Apolonia Fier	26	10	8	8	31:30	38
7	Luzi	26	10	8	8	31:26	38
8	Besa Kavaje	26	10	7	9	32:26	37
9	Lushnja	26	8	8	10	30:42	32
10	Burreli	26	7	10	9	22:29	31
11	KF Oriku	26	9	3	14	27:33	30
12	Turbina Cerrik	26	7	5	14	24:45	26
13	Beselidhja Lezha	26	3	8	15	17:41	14
14	Terbuni Puka	26	6	6	14	16:41	24