Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup Arena Kombetare, Tirana
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Rafa Freitas
45'
Qardaku E.
65'
Sub
Qardaku E. In: Goudiaby B.
Out: Qardaku E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Dinamo Tirana advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
KF Tirana
22%
Draws
18%
Dinamo Tirana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: KF Tirana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dinamo Tirana come out ahead of KF Tirana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans KF Tirana's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Dinamo Tirana arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dinamo Tirana, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 68%
Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Tirana Dinamo Tirana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Dinamo Tirana vs KF Tirana
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 Albanian Cup
Dinamo Tirana vs KF Tirana
2:0
Feb 11, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana
1:1
Dec 3, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Dinamo Tirana vs KF Tirana
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Tirana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dinamo Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vila L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bregu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Tirana 68 / 100
Dinamo Tirana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Tirana Dinamo Tirana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: KF Tirana stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

KF Tirana's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dinamo Tirana has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

KF Tirana VS Dinamo Tirana
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Tirana

(Home)
10 May
AF Elbasani
1 : 3
KF Tirana
06 May
KF Tirana
1 : 0
Vllaznia
02 May
Teuta
0 : 1
KF Tirana
25 Apr
KF Tirana
2 : 1
Partizani
18 Apr
Dinamo Tirana
1 : 1
KF Tirana
Page 1 of 6

Dinamo Tirana

(Away)
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
16 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 4
Dinamo Tirana
09 Jul
Dinamo Tirana
0 : 1
FC Astana
01 Jul
Struga
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
27 Jun
Struga
2 : 3
Dinamo Tirana
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca5
Basania FC2
Iliria Kruja5
Luzi1
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje5
Shkumbini Peqin0
Kukesi3
Terbuni Puka1
Bylis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Laci3
Kelcyra0
AF Luftetari2
KF Oriku0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Delvina0
Korabi Peshkopi4
Koplik1
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vora6
Maliqi2
Erzeni Shijak0
Librazhd2
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Beselidhja Lezha0
Lushnja2
Butrinti Sarande1
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari5
Kucove0
KF Valbona-
Tomori Berat-
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Burreli3
Albanet1
Kastrioti3
KS Devolli2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca4
Iliria Kruja2
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje3
Kukesi1
Bylis-
TBD-
Laci2
AF Luftetari0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Korabi Peshkopi3
Teuta-
TBD-
Vora2
Librazhd1
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Lushnja2
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
Flamurtari9
Tomori Berat0
Partizani-
TBD-
Burreli5
Kastrioti2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana2
Skenderbeu Korca1
Dinamo Tirana3
Besa Kavaje0
Bylis3
Laci2
Vllaznia1
Pogradeci0
Teuta2
Vora0
KF Egnatia1
Apolonia Fier0
AF Elbasani2
Flamurtari1
Partizani3
Burreli0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana0
Dinamo Tirana4
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Teuta1
KF Egnatia2
AF Elbasani3
Partizani2
Semi-finals
Dinamo Tirana2
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia3
AF Elbasani2
Final
Dinamo Tirana3
KF Egnatia2