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KF Tirana vs Vllaznia

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 Arena Kombetare
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Match Events

16' Event
Rafa Freitas
42'
Krymi A.
62'
Mala E.

AI Match Summary

The Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 game between KF Tirana and Vllaznia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KF Tirana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KF Tirana
6%
Draws
4%
Vllaznia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KF Tirana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KF Tirana's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what Vllaznia have produced (0.5).
  • Win probability leans KF Tirana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 68%
Vllaznia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Tirana Vllaznia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.6 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs Vllaznia
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Vllaznia vs KF Tirana
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs Vllaznia
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Vllaznia vs KF Tirana
3:1
Mar 11, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs Vllaznia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Freitas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Vllaznia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Tirana 95 / 100
Vllaznia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Tirana Vllaznia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: KF Tirana remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

KF Tirana found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Vllaznia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

KF Tirana VS Vllaznia
1.6 Goals Scored 0.5
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vllaznia36189942:2763
2AF Elbasani361711848:3762
3KF Egnatia361691142:3457
4Dinamo Tirana3612131143:3349
5Partizani361391438:4848
6KF Tirana3611111436:4644
7Vora3610121439:4042
8Teuta369151232:3742
9Bylis3610111538:5041
10Flamurtari368121639:4536