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KF Valbona vs Kastrioti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025
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Match Events

20' Event
Xhabafti K.
80'
Tota J.
80'
Tota J.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 game between KF Valbona and Kastrioti finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KF Valbona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Valbona
20%
Draws
80%
Kastrioti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kastrioti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Kastrioti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kastrioti's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
KF Valbona Clean Sheet 19%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Valbona Kastrioti
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
KF Valbona vs Kastrioti
3:0
Feb 1, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs KF Valbona
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
KF Valbona vs Kastrioti
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Valbona Compare

Top Goalscorer Xhabafti K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kastrioti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Valbona 24 / 100
Kastrioti 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Valbona Kastrioti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastrioti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastrioti let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

KF Valbona scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Kastrioti registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kastrioti
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Valbona

(Home)
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
20 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 3
Besa Kavaje
13 Apr
Burreli
2 : 1
KF Valbona
05 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 2
Pogradeci
30 Mar
Lushnja
4 : 1
KF Valbona
Page 1 of 6

Kastrioti

(Away)
07 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Luzi
20 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
1 : 1
Kastrioti
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)