Sport Picks
KF Valbona vs Pogradeci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Albania
Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 
Match Events
18'
18'
Pengu A.
53'
53'
Zguro V.
90'
90'
Balla D.
AI Match Summary
Pogradeci in this Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogradeci.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogradeci
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pogradeci lately — more wins on the board than KF Valbona.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Pogradeci taking it.
- Regular Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Pogradeci have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
KF Valbona Clean Sheet 14%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KF Valbona | Pogradeci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 3 | 24 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 2.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
KF Valbona vs Pogradeci
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
KF Valbona vs Pogradeci
2:3
Oct 26, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs KF Valbona
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KF Valbona Compare
Top Goalscorer Balla D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Pogradeci Compare
Top Goalscorer Pengu A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zguro V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KF Valbona 10 / 100
Pogradeci 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KF Valbona Pogradeci
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KF Valbona scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Pogradeci conceded in 61% of 36 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pogradeci
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
KF Valbona
(Home) 15 Oct
KF Valbona
: Tomori Berat
20 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 3 Besa Kavaje
13 Apr
Burreli
2 : 1 KF Valbona
05 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 2 Pogradeci
30 Mar
Lushnja
4 : 1 KF Valbona
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
KF Valbona
: Tomori Berat
20 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 3 Besa Kavaje
05 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 2 Pogradeci
26 Mar
KF Valbona
3 : 0 Kastrioti
09 Mar
KF Valbona
1 : 2 Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 3
Pogradeci
(Away) 07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0 Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0 Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3 Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1 Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0 Pogradeci
Page 1 of 8
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3 Pogradeci
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0 Pogradeci
16 May
Teuta
1 : 0 Pogradeci
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0 Pogradeci
19 Apr
Laci
2 : 0 Pogradeci
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vora | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 55:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Flamurtari | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 62:21 | 75 |
| 3 | Besa Kavaje | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 54:18 | 74 |
| 4 | Burreli | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 36:22 | 58 |
| 5 | Pogradeci | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:35 | 49 |
| 6 | Apolonia Fier | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45:32 | 45 |
| 7 | Lushnja | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 39:41 | 44 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 9 | Kastrioti | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 35:49 | 38 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 29:56 | 28 |
| 11 | KF Valbona | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 29:59 | 16 |
| 12 | Erzeni Shijak | 33 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 16:63 | 11 |
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)
