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KF Valbona vs Tomori Berat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2025/2026
Wed, Oct 15, 2025
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Albanian Cup 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: KF Valbona at 0.93 goals for, 1.77 against; Tomori Berat at 0.52 for, 2.55 against. Past meetings favor KF Valbona slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.77 xG vs 1.50) point toward KF Valbona. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Valbona
15%
Draws
85%
Tomori Berat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomori Berat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • KF Valbona haven't matched Tomori Berat's recent run of results.
  • KF Valbona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tomori Berat arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
KF Valbona Clean Sheet 16%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Valbona Tomori Berat
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 21 26
Goals Scored 0.93 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.77 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Albanian Cup
KF Valbona vs Tomori Berat
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Valbona 84 / 100
Tomori Berat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Valbona Tomori Berat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Valbona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomori Berat has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: KF Valbona scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Tomori Berat has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

KF Valbona VS Tomori Berat
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 4.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Valbona

(Home)
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
20 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 3
Besa Kavaje
13 Apr
Burreli
2 : 1
KF Valbona
05 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 2
Pogradeci
30 Mar
Lushnja
4 : 1
KF Valbona
Page 1 of 6

Tomori Berat

(Away)
07 Oct
AF Luftetari
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Sopoti Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2