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KFA vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KFA host Throttur Vogar in the Division 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: KFA at 2.63 goals for, 1.75 against; Throttur Vogar at 1.88 for, 2.25 against. Head-to-head, KFA have won 2 to Throttur Vogar's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.81) point toward KFA. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
KFA
39%
Draws
31%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KFA lately — more wins on the board than Throttur Vogar.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
KFA Clean Sheet 11%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFA Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
1:1
May 31, 2025 Division 2
KFA vs Throttur Vogar
0:3
Jul 13, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
2:3
May 4, 2024 Division 2
KFA vs Throttur Vogar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFA 29 / 100
Throttur Vogar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFA Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFA's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Throttur Vogar let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: KFA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFA VS Throttur Vogar
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KFA

(Home)
18 Jul
KFA
0 : 1
Selfoss
12 Jul
Kari
2 : 2
KFA
04 Jul
KFA
3 : 0
Olafsvik
27 Jun
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 0
KFA
20 Jun
KFA
2 : 2
Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 7

Throttur Vogar

(Away)
17 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
12 Jul
Throttur Vogar
5 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
04 Jul
Magni
4 : 3
Throttur Vogar
26 Jun
Throttur Vogar
3 : 2
Fjolnir
19 Jun
Throttur Vogar
1 : 4
Kari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haukar1392235:1729
2Selfoss1365227:2423
3Kari1356236:2321
4Kormakur/Hvot1355329:1520
5Dalvik/Reynir1362523:2220
6Fjolnir1353532:2818
7Olafsvik1353518:2318
8KFA1342729:2514
9Magni1342723:4014
10Throttur Vogar1341821:2613
11Hviti1327417:2313
12KFG Gardabaer1340918:4212
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