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Stadium Background

KFA vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Thorisson A.
24' Event
Halldorsson B.
40' Event
Sigurjonsson T.

AI Match Summary

KFA in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
KFA
15%
Draws
26%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • KFA average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Throttur Vogar's 1.43.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on KFA taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
KFA Clean Sheet 16%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFA Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2
KFA vs Throttur Vogar
4:2
May 14, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
1:1
May 31, 2025 Division 2
KFA vs Throttur Vogar
0:3
Jul 13, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Gretarsson P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurjonsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halldorsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFA 75 / 100
Throttur Vogar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFA Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFA's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Throttur Vogar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: KFA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFA VS Throttur Vogar
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KFA

(Home)
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0
KFA
05 Sept
KFA
2 : 3
Dalvik/Reynir
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
23 Aug
KFA
6 : 0
Hviti
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
Page 1 of 7

Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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