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KFA vs Tindastoll

Iceland Iceland

Fotbolti.net Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Furness D.
10' Event
Ragnarsson E.
Assist: Vergara I.
16'
Vergara I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with KFA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
KFA
15%
Draws
42%
Tindastoll
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tindastoll come out ahead of KFA on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Tindastoll arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor KFA, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
KFA Clean Sheet 17%
Tindastoll Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFA Tindastoll
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.06 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Fotbolti.net Cup
KFA vs Tindastoll
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragnarsson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sverrisson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Tindastoll Compare

Top Goalscorer Furness D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFA 31 / 100
Tindastoll 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFA Tindastoll

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFA's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tindastoll's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: KFA remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KFA VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KFA

(Home)
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0
KFA
05 Sept
KFA
2 : 3
Dalvik/Reynir
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
23 Aug
KFA
6 : 0
Hviti
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
Page 1 of 7

Tindastoll

(Away)
03 Apr
Tindastoll
0 : 1
Njardvik
29 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Magni
21 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Fjallabyggd
26 Sept
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Tindastoll
19 Sept
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fjallabyggd 1
Augnablik 2
KFA 6
Ymir 0
Tindastoll 2
KH Hlidarendi 1
Kari 1
Magni 0
Selfoss 3
KFG Gardabaer 1
Haukar 4
Volsungur 1
Vaengirs 4
KFK Kopavogur 0
Arbaer 3
Olafsvik 2
Quarter-finals
Augnablik 1
KFA 3
Tindastoll 2
Kari 1
Selfoss 3
Haukar 2
Vaengirs 1
Arbaer 3
Semi-finals
KFA 2
Tindastoll 1
Selfoss 4
Arbaer 1
Final
KFA 1
Selfoss 3