Sport Picks
KFG Gardabaer vs IH Hafnarfjordur Prediction & H2H Stats
Iceland
Icelandic Cup 2023 
Match Events
31'
31'
Hakonarson O.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Almarsson T.
52'
52'
Danielsson T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with KFG Gardabaer advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- IH Hafnarfjordur haven't matched KFG Gardabaer's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on KFG Gardabaer taking it.
- KFG Gardabaer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor KFG Gardabaer, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
IH Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KFG Gardabaer | IH Hafnarfjordur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 20 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.05 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2023 Fotbolti.net Cup
IH Hafnarfjordur vs KFG Gardabaer
2:3
Apr 8, 2023 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs IH Hafnarfjordur
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KFG Gardabaer Compare
Top Goalscorer Almarsson T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Valgeirsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
IH Hafnarfjordur Compare
Top Goalscorer Danielsson T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Steinbjornsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
IH Hafnarfjordur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KFG Gardabaer IH Hafnarfjordur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KFG Gardabaer scored in 88% of their last 41 games.
Defensive concern: IH Hafnarfjordur conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: KFG Gardabaer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
KFG Gardabaer VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
KFG Gardabaer
(Home) 12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1 KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1 Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0 KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0 Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5 KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 9
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1 Olafsvik
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0 Kormakur/Hvot
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4 KFA
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5 Kari
03 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3 Selfoss
Page 1 of 5
IH Hafnarfjordur
(Away) 21 Mar
KFR
: IH Hafnarfjordur
10 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
2 : 5 Selfoss
29 Mar
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 1 KH Hlidarendi
17 May
Fram
3 : 0 IH Hafnarfjordur
25 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 2 Hafnir
Page 1 of 7
21 Mar
KFR
: IH Hafnarfjordur
17 May
Fram
3 : 0 IH Hafnarfjordur
01 Apr
Lettir
2 : 7 IH Hafnarfjordur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
08 Apr
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 2 IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
