Sport Picks

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KFG Gardabaer vs KFA

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Birgisson B.
53' Event
Boumeddane J.
58' Event
Boumeddane J.

AI Match Summary

KFA in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored KFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
KFG Gardabaer
15%
Draws
51%
KFA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KFA lately — more wins on the board than KFG Gardabaer.
  • Model gives KFG Gardabaer a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
KFA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer KFA
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.74 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs KFA
3:4
Jun 6, 2026 Division 2
KFA vs KFG Gardabaer
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs KFA
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 Division 2
KFA vs KFG Gardabaer
5:2
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs KFA
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilmarsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thorarinsson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

KFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Boumeddane J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Birgisson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 34 / 100
KFA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer KFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

KFA let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.80 goals per match.

KFG Gardabaer has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS KFA
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
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KFA

(Away)
23 Aug
KFA
6 : 0
Hviti
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
KFA
1 : 2
Haukar
04 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 1
KFA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 19 14 2 3 50:25 44
2 Selfoss 19 10 6 3 45:34 36
3 Kari 19 8 9 2 48:29 33
4 Olafsvik 19 8 4 7 27:33 28
5 KFA 19 8 2 9 46:36 26
6 Fjolnir 19 7 4 8 43:41 25
7 Magni 19 7 4 8 34:44 25
8 Kormakur/Hvot 19 6 6 7 35:30 24
9 Dalvik/Reynir 19 6 4 9 28:34 22
10 Throttur Vogar 19 6 1 12 30:38 19
11 KFG Gardabaer 19 6 1 12 33:53 19
12 Hviti 19 3 7 9 21:43 16
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)