Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Gretarsson D.
51' Event
Ingason H.
75' Event
Olafsson K.

AI Match Summary

KFG Gardabaer in this Division 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KFG Gardabaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
KFG Gardabaer
15%
Draws
26%
Vidir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vidir have won more games recently than KFG Gardabaer.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on KFG Gardabaer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
Vidir Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer Vidir
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2
Vidir vs KFG Gardabaer
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
2:1
Sep 29, 2023 Fotbolti.net Cup
Vidir vs KFG Gardabaer
2:1
Jul 25, 2019 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Gretarsson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olafsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Vidir Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
Vidir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer Vidir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Vidir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

KFG Gardabaer went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
Page 1 of 7

Vidir

(Away)
01 Apr
Fjolnir
2 : 1
Vidir
19 Mar
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3
Vidir
13 Sept
Vidir
2 : 3
Aegir
06 Sept
KFA
2 : 0
Vidir
30 Aug
Vidir
2 : 2
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aegir 22 14 2 6 60:35 44
2 Grotta 22 13 5 4 47:25 44
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 32:24 42
4 Kormakur/Hvot 22 11 2 9 35:37 35
5 Dalvik/Reynir 22 10 4 8 38:26 34
6 KFA 22 9 5 8 53:45 32
7 Haukar 22 9 4 9 36:40 31
8 Olafsvik 22 8 4 10 42:40 28
9 Kari 22 8 0 14 32:55 24
10 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:52 23
11 Vidir 22 5 5 12 33:41 20
12 Hottur / Huginn 22 4 5 13 27:53 17
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)