Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KFS vs Kria

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2021
4 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sigmarsson D.
11' Event
Magnusson M.
50' Event
Gunnarsson A.

AI Match Summary

KFS in this Icelandic Cup 2021 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
KFS
15%
Draws
42%
Kria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • KFS have won more games recently than Kria.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kria taking it.
  • KFS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KFS, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
KFS Clean Sheet 10%
Kria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFS Kria
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 10 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.46 2.21
Goals Conceded 3.43 3.16
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2021 Icelandic Cup
KFS vs Kria
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigmarsson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magnusson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Kria Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFS 10 / 100
Kria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFS Kria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

KFS scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Away concern: Kria has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KFS VS Kria
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

KFS

(Home)
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0
KFS
21 Mar
KFS
:
Thorlakur
15 Jul
Grotta
3 : 0
KFS
29 Mar
Kari
7 : 1
KFS
06 Apr
KV Reykjavik
3 : 0
KFS
Page 1 of 6

Kria

(Away)
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2
Kria
06 Apr
Leiknir Reykjavik
5 : 0
Kria
28 Mar
Lettir
1 : 2
Kria
04 Apr
Kria
1 : 2
Ulfarnir
11 Apr
Kria
0 : 10
Fjolnir
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 0
Augnablik 12
Aegir 4
IBU 0
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Bjorninn 0
KA Asvellir 3
KFG Gardabaer 0
Alftanes 2
Ellidi 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Selfoss 0
Kordrengir 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Reynir 1
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lettir 1
Vidir 2
Fram 8
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 2
GG Grindavik 1
Njardvik 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
Throttur Vogar 3
TBD -
Grotta -
Berserkir 5
KFS 6
Kria 13
Afrika Reykjavik 1
KB Breidholt 1
Throttur 6
Olafsvik 18
Gullfalkinn 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Afturelding 2
SR Reykjavik 1
RB Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Vestri 3
Ymir 1
KFR 2
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Magni -
Smari 1
Grindavik 4
Hviti 4
Arborg 1
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Tindastoll 0
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Hamrarnir 3
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 7
Einherji 1
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Ulfarnir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Dalvik/Reynir 7
Samherjar 1
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
KFB 0
Stokkseyri 5
KM Reykjavik 0
Haukar 4
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
Kari -
Vaengirs -
Snaefell 1
Skallagrimur 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Augnablik 4
Aegir 0
Fjolnir 7
KA Asvellir 1
Alftanes 0
IR Reykjavik 2
Kordrengir 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Akranes -
TBD -
Vidir 0
Fram 2
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
Njardvik 5
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 1
Grotta 3
KFS 4
Kria 0
Throttur 1
Olafsvik 3
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Afturelding 8
SR Reykjavik 0
Vestri 1
KFR 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Magni 0
Grindavik 3
Hviti 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Volsungur 9
Hamrarnir 1
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir -
TBD -
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Ulfarnir 3
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 3
Stokkseyri 0
Haukar 7
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 2
Kari 5
Skallagrimur 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/16-finals
Augnablik 1
Fjolnir 4
IR Reykjavik 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Akranes 3
Fram 0
Hafnarfjordur 4
Njardvik 1
Kopavogur 2
Grotta 1
KFS 4
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 2
Afturelding 1
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Valur 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Fylkir 7
Ulfarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 1
Haukar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Sindri 0
Kari 1
KR Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Fjolnir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Akranes 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Kopavogur 7
KFS 1
Keflavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Vestri 4
Thor Akureyri 0
Valur 6
Volsungur 0
Fylkir 2
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
IR Reykjavik 1
Akranes 3
Kopavogur 3
Keflavik 5
Vestri 2
Valur 1
Fylkir 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Semi-finals
Akranes 2
Keflavik 0
Vestri 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Final
Akranes 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3