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Khan Tengri vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Bizhan A.
7' Event
Bulgakbaev A.
45' Event
Mukhit A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Khan Tengri and FC Ekibastuz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Khan Tengri
22%
Draws
60%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Ekibastuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Ekibastuz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs FC Ekibastuz
1:3
Oct 16, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs FC Ekibastuz
4:0
Jul 10, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Khan Tengri vs FC Ekibastuz
2:1
Jul 25, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullaev B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulgakbaev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukhit A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 18 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Ekibastuz conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: FC Ekibastuz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Khan Tengri scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS FC Ekibastuz
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
23 Jul
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Khan Tengri
16 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
09 Jul
Aktobe 2
5 : 2
Khan Tengri
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
25 Jun
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 0
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
23 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
3 : 0
FC Ekibastuz
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
26 Jun
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 215132054:741
2Shakhter Karagandy15131142:640
3Turan15101431:1231
4Akademiya Ontustik1582524:2026
5FC Astana 21572626:2423
6Jaiyq1571713:1822
7Taraz1562721:2020
8Kaspij Aktau 21553719:2818
9Khan Tengri1552818:2817
10FC Ekibastuz1545617:2917
11Aktobe 21545627:4417
12Arys15311116:3610
13Yelimay Semey 215231011:289
14Tobol 215141024:437
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