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Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Erdenechimeg U.
75'
78' Event
Gerelt-Od B.

AI Match Summary

FC Ulaanbaatar in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ulaanbaatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Khangarid
6%
Draws
90%
FC Ulaanbaatar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ulaanbaatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ulaanbaatar have won more games recently than Khangarid.
  • Model gives FC Ulaanbaatar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Ulaanbaatar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Khangarid Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khangarid FC Ulaanbaatar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 22
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 2.13 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
3:4
Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid
3:1
May 17, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid
3:1
Oct 14, 2025 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
1:3
Jun 19, 2025 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khangarid Compare

Top Goalscorer Yanagidate K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FC Ulaanbaatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdenechimeg U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gerelt-Od B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khangarid 10 / 100
FC Ulaanbaatar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khangarid FC Ulaanbaatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khangarid's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

FC Ulaanbaatar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Khangarid stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khangarid VS FC Ulaanbaatar
2.13 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Ulaanbaatar16132165:941
2Central Stallions16123154:1439
3Khangarid16103359:1933
4Deren1693457:1630
5Hunters1673644:2724
6Khovd Western1653829:3618
7Khovd16401228:7312
8Khoromkhon16201427:866
9Ulaangom City FC16111416:994
10Falcons00000:00