Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khenchela vs Paradou

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Amar Hamam Stadium, Khenchela
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Etouga F.
35'
Dris A.
35'
Bisker M.

AI Match Summary

Khenchela in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khenchela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Khenchela
15%
Draws
32%
Paradou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khenchela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Khenchela have won more games recently than Paradou.
  • Model gives Khenchela a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 17%
Paradou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khenchela Paradou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Paradou
1:0
Nov 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Paradou vs Khenchela
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Paradou
2:2
Nov 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Paradou vs Khenchela
4:0
Jun 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Paradou vs Khenchela
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khenchela Compare

Top Goalscorer Matouti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Paradou Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khenchela 41 / 100
Paradou 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khenchela Paradou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khenchela's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Paradou conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Khenchela went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khenchela VS Paradou
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khenchela

(Home)
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
04 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Khenchela
Page 1 of 6

Paradou

(Away)
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
22 May
USM Alger
4 : 2
Paradou
19 May
Rouisset
2 : 1
Paradou
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
17 Apr
El Bayadh
0 : 1
Paradou
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)