Sport Picks
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Fajr Sepasi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League Takhti Stadium, Khorramabad 
Match Events
25'
25'
Mohebi M.
Own Goal
81'
81'
Shanani H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Kheybar Khorramabad have won more games recently than Fajr Sepasi.
- Win probability leans Kheybar Khorramabad's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kheybar Khorramabad Clean Sheet 68%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kheybar Khorramabad | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Fajr Sepasi
1:1
Jan 28, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Fajr Sepasi
1:1
May 2, 2024 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad
3:0
Nov 15, 2023 Azadegan League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Fajr Sepasi
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kheybar Khorramabad Compare
Top Goalscorer Shanani H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Fajr Sepasi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kheybar Khorramabad 86 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kheybar Khorramabad Fajr Sepasi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kheybar Khorramabad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kheybar Khorramabad scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
Defensive concern: Fajr Sepasi conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Kheybar Khorramabad stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kheybar Khorramabad VS Fajr Sepasi
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kheybar Khorramabad
(Home) 09 Oct
Chadormalu
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0 Foolad
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3 Paykan
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0 Foolad
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3 Paykan
14 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
1 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
27 Feb
Kheybar Khorramabad
0 : 2 Chadormalu
14 Feb
Kheybar Khorramabad
1 : 0 Malavan
Page 1 of 3
Fajr Sepasi
(Away) 08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
14 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
1 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Persepolis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Esteghlal TEH | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Aluminium Arak | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Foolad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 8 | Paykan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Mazandaran | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Chadormalu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Malavan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 13 | Zob Ahan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Fajr Sepasi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr Babak | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:11 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)
