Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kheybar Khorramabad vs Malavan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Takhti Stadium, Khorramabad
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Alinejad M.
45'
Hosseini E.
58'
Sub
Jafari F. In: Eslamikhah G.
Out: Jafari F.

AI Match Summary

Kheybar Khorramabad in this Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kheybar Khorramabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kheybar Khorramabad
20%
Draws
44%
Malavan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malavan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malavan lately — more wins on the board than Kheybar Khorramabad.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kheybar Khorramabad taking it.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Kheybar Khorramabad Clean Sheet 68%
Malavan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kheybar Khorramabad Malavan
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.07 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Malavan
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
3:0
Dec 2, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Malavan
1:3
Apr 30, 2022 Azadegan League
Malavan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kheybar Khorramabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghezel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Malavan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kheybar Khorramabad 59 / 100
Malavan 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kheybar Khorramabad Malavan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kheybar Khorramabad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kheybar Khorramabad scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Malavan let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Kheybar Khorramabad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kheybar Khorramabad VS Malavan
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kheybar Khorramabad

(Home)
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0
Foolad
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3
Paykan
19 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Kheybar Khorramabad
Page 1 of 6

Malavan

(Away)
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Malavan
2 : 1
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)