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Khimki 2 vs Arsenal Tula 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Trofimov O.
(Penalty)
5' Event
Trofimov O.
25' Event
Weber D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024 game between Khimki 2 and Arsenal Tula 2 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Khimki 2
30%
Draws
35%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Khimki 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Khimki 2 taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Khimki 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khimki 2 Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 12
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.11 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Arsenal Tula 2
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:2
Jun 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Khimki 2
2:0
Sep 22, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:3
May 15, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khimki 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Trofimov O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khimki 2 50 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khimki 2 Arsenal Tula 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khimki 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2 let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Khimki 2 scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Khimki 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal Tula 2
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Khimki 2

(Home)
23 May
R. Volgograd 2
3 : 2
Khimki 2
16 May
Khimki 2
1 : 0
Penza
10 May
Salyut-Belgorod
5 : 0
Khimki 2
03 May
Khimki 2
0 : 2
Znamya Truda
27 Apr
SKA Khabarovsk 2
2 : 0
Khimki 2
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Tula 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
29 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
23 Aug
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Vladivostok 28 20 3 5 42:17 63
2 Kosmos 28 16 6 6 45:23 54
3 FK Kompozit 28 16 6 6 59:40 54
4 Salyut-Belgorod 28 13 9 6 49:34 48
5 Spartak Tambov 28 12 8 8 37:28 44
6 Khimki 2 28 13 5 10 37:34 44
7 Sakhalin 28 12 6 10 29:24 42
8 Penza 28 10 7 11 34:35 37
9 Ryazan 28 9 8 11 33:31 35
10 FC Oryol 28 10 5 13 34:32 35
11 Strogino Moscow 28 9 4 15 24:38 31
12 Arsenal Tula 2 28 9 4 15 31:40 31
13 SKA Khabarovsk 2 28 7 6 15 38:50 27
14 FK Kolomna 28 5 6 17 22:56 21
15 Kvant Obninsk 28 4 7 17 19:51 19
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)