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Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Presidents Cup Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor Fakkan
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
El Khaloui M.
23'
Sub
Bawazir K. In: El Berkaoui K.
Out: Bawazir K.
44' Event
Mendy D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Khorfakkan
15%
Draws
73%
Al Dhafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Dhafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Al Dhafra haven't matched Khorfakkan's recent run of results.
  • 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Khorfakkan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Khorfakkan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Khorfakkan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 16%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khorfakkan Al Dhafra
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.21 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Presidents Cup
Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra
3:2
Aug 29, 2026 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Khorfakkan
2:3
Jan 2, 2026 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra
2:3
Apr 18, 2023 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Khorfakkan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khorfakkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tissoudali T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mahmoud A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Dhafra Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khaloui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khorfakkan 31 / 100
Al Dhafra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khorfakkan Al Dhafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Dhafra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Dhafra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Khorfakkan scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Al Dhafra's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Khorfakkan VS Al Dhafra
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khorfakkan

(Home)
18 Oct
Khorfakkan
2 : 3
Al Wahda
08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2
Al Wasl
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2
Al Jazira
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
Page 1 of 6

Al Dhafra

(Away)
16 Oct
Al Dhafra
5 : 1
United FC
09 Oct
Al Wahda
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
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Ajman -
Al Wasl -
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Ittihad Kalba -
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai -
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Al Ain -
Gulf United 2
Al Fujairah 4
Al Jazira Hamra 1
Forte Virtus 0
Al Bataeh 0
Palm City 2
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Dibba Al Hisn -
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Al Wahda -
Al Nasr -
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Bani Yas -
Khorfakkan -
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Al Dhafra -
Al Sharjah -
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Al Arabi (UAE) 3
Emirates Club 2
Al Hamriyah 1
Al Thaid 2
Dibba Al Fujairah 1
Al Ittifaq 3
Al Urooba 1
Dubai City 0
Hatta -
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United FC -
1/32-finals
Al Jazira -
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Ajman -
Al Wasl -
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Ittihad Kalba -
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai -
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Al Ain -
Al Fujairah 4
Al Jazira Hamra 1
Palm City 1
Dibba Al Hisn 2
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Al Wahda -
Al Nasr -
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Bani Yas -
Khorfakkan -
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Al Dhafra -
Al Sharjah -
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Al Arabi (UAE) 2
Al Thaid 0
Al Ittifaq 1
Al Urooba 2
Hatta -
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United FC -
1/16-finals
Al Jazira -
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Ajman -
Al Wasl -
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Ittihad Kalba -
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai -
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Al Ain -
Al Fujairah 2
Dibba Al Hisn 1
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Al Wahda -
Al Nasr -
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Bani Yas -
Khorfakkan -
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Al Dhafra -
Al Sharjah -
TBD -
Al Arabi (UAE) 0
Al Urooba 2
Hatta -
TBD -
TBD -
United FC -
1/8-finals
Al Jazira 1
Ajman 0
Al Wasl 3
Ittihad Kalba 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3
Al Ain 2
Al Fujairah 0
Al Wahda 1
Al Nasr 0
Bani Yas 1
Khorfakkan 0
Al Dhafra 1
Al Sharjah 1
Al Urooba 0
Hatta -
United FC -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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