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Khorfakkan vs Al Nasr

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium
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Match Events

37'
Mierez R.
46'
Sub
Milivojevic L. In: Abdulbasit M.
Out: Milivojevic L.
46'
Sub
Mensah B. In: Santos J.
Out: Mensah B.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Khorfakkan and Al Nasr finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Khorfakkan
44%
Draws
20%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Khorfakkan on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 14%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khorfakkan Al Nasr
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Nasr
0:0
May 3, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Nasr
3:3
Dec 15, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan
3:1
May 13, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khorfakkan 35 / 100
Al Nasr 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khorfakkan Al Nasr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Khorfakkan found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Khorfakkan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khorfakkan VS Al Nasr
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520