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Khosilot Parkhar vs Vakhsh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khosilot Parkhar host Vakhsh in the Vysshaya Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Vakhsh have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Khosilot Parkhar have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.72. Past meetings favor Vakhsh slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.31, favoring Vakhsh. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Khosilot Parkhar
35%
Draws
28%
Vakhsh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khosilot Parkhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khosilot Parkhar come out ahead of Vakhsh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Khosilot Parkhar's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 18%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khosilot Parkhar Vakhsh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.72 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
2:2
Aug 21, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Vakhsh
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Vakhsh
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khosilot Parkhar 49 / 100
Vakhsh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khosilot Parkhar Vakhsh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khosilot Parkhar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vakhsh let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Khosilot Parkhar scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Khosilot Parkhar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khosilot Parkhar VS Vakhsh
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Khosilot Parkhar

(Home)
11 Oct
Ravshan Kulob
1 : 1
Khosilot Parkhar
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
Page 1 of 6

Vakhsh

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 18 10 5 3 35:18 35
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 18 6 5 7 24:20 23
8 Eskhata 18 5 5 8 23:33 20
9 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 17 2 6 9 24:32 12
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)