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Khujand vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Khujand and CSKA Pomir Dushanbe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Khujand
35%
Draws
20%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khujand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Pomir Dushanbe's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Khujand have produced (0.93).
  • Khujand are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Khujand Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khujand CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1:1
Mar 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Khujand
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0:0
May 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Khujand
2:1
Oct 15, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khujand 76 / 100
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khujand CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khujand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khujand went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Khujand scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: CSKA Pomir Dushanbe conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Khujand VS CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khujand

(Home)
09 Oct
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 1
Khujand
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
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CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

(Away)
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3
Ravshan Kulob
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
26 Jun
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
5 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
6 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)