Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khujand vs Istaravshan

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Khujand and Istaravshan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khujand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Khujand
30%
Draws
6%
Istaravshan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Khujand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khujand come out ahead of Istaravshan on wins alone.
  • Khujand are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Khujand here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Khujand Clean Sheet 68%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khujand Istaravshan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Khujand
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Istaravshan
1:0
Aug 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Khujand
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Istaravshan
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Istaravshan
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khujand 95 / 100
Istaravshan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khujand Istaravshan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khujand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Khujand has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Khujand scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Khujand VS Istaravshan
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Khujand

(Home)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1
Khujand
Page 1 of 6

Istaravshan

(Away)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)