Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khujand vs Vakhsh

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khujand play Vakhsh in the Vysshaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Khujand averaged 1.16 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Vakhsh averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Khujand won 1, Vakhsh won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Khujand and 1.25 for Vakhsh. This points to a Vakhsh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Khujand
29%
Draws
38%
Vakhsh
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Vakhsh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Khujand picked up more points recently compared to Vakhsh.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Khujand Clean Sheet 19%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khujand Vakhsh
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 13
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.16 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Vakhsh
0:0
Jun 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khujand
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Vakhsh
1:2
Nov 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khujand
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Vakhsh
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khujand 34 / 100
Vakhsh 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khujand Vakhsh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vakhsh or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Khujand attacking → ← attacking Vakhsh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khujand scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Vakhsh let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Khujand went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vakhsh lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 55
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe1174014:325
2Khosilot Parkhar1273223:1124
3Regar-TadAZ1173115:724
4CSKA Pomir Dushanbe1161414:1219
5Ravshan Kulob1252516:1317
6Barkchi Hisor1251615:1916
7Khujand1244411:1016
8Eskhata1242614:2314
9Vakhsh1235415:1614
10Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov1233610:1712
11Sardor Tursunzoda1213813:216
12Istaravshan110569:175