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Kibera vs Kabati

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Kibera Logo

Kibera

1 - 0
FT
Kabati Logo

Kabati

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kibera in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kibera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kibera
30%
Draws
58%
Kabati
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kabati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kibera lately — more wins on the board than Kabati.
  • Win probability leans Kabati's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kibera Clean Sheet 21%
Kabati Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kibera Kabati
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Super League
Kibera vs Kabati
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Kabati vs Kibera
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kibera 20 / 100
Kabati 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kibera Kabati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kibera scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Kabati's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kibera remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kibera VS Kabati
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kibera

(Home)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

Kabati

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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