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Kibera vs MCF

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Kibera Logo

Kibera

1 - 2
FT
MCF Logo

MCF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kibera and MCF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MCF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Kibera
30%
Draws
54%
MCF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MCF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Kibera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kibera Clean Sheet 20%
MCF Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kibera MCF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Super League
Kibera vs MCF
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
MCF vs Kibera
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Super League
MCF vs Kibera
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Super League
Kibera vs MCF
3:1
Mar 23, 2024 Super League
Kibera vs MCF
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kibera 32 / 100
MCF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kibera MCF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MCF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kibera's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

MCF let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Kibera remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kibera VS MCF
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kibera

(Home)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
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MCF

(Away)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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