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Kidderminster vs Macclesfield Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League North 2025/2026 Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster
Kidderminster Logo

Kidderminster

3 - 1
FT
Macclesfield Logo

Macclesfield

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Faakye R.
45' Event
Donnelly K.
90' Event
Thompson S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Kidderminster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kidderminster
35%
Draws
42%
Macclesfield
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Macclesfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Macclesfield haven't matched Kidderminster's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Kidderminster have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kidderminster, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 20%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kidderminster Macclesfield
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National League North
Kidderminster vs Macclesfield
3:1
Feb 3, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Kidderminster
5:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League North
Kidderminster vs Macclesfield
1:1
Feb 13, 2016 National League
Kidderminster vs Macclesfield
3:1
Oct 10, 2015 National League
Macclesfield vs Kidderminster
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kidderminster Compare

Top Goalscorer Faakye R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnelly K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Macclesfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kidderminster 32 / 100
Macclesfield 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kidderminster Macclesfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macclesfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kidderminster scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Macclesfield let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Kidderminster stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kidderminster VS Macclesfield
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kidderminster

(Home)
03 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Sutton
29 Sept
Boreham Wood
3 : 1
Kidderminster
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1
Yeovil
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 6

Macclesfield

(Away)
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0
Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Shields -
TBD -
Buxton 4
Scarborough Athletic 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Macclesfield 2
Chester 1
Semi-finals
South Shields 1
Buxton 0
Kidderminster 3
Macclesfield 1
Final
South Shields 0
Kidderminster 2