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Stadium Background

Kidderminster vs Macclesfield

England England

National League North 2025/2026 Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster
Kidderminster Logo

Kidderminster

3 - 1
FT
Macclesfield Logo

Macclesfield

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Faakye R.
45' Event
Donnelly K.
90' Event
Thompson S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Kidderminster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kidderminster
30%
Draws
37%
Macclesfield
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macclesfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Macclesfield haven't matched Kidderminster's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kidderminster a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Kidderminster have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kidderminster, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 19%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kidderminster Macclesfield
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National League North
Kidderminster vs Macclesfield
3:1
Feb 3, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Kidderminster
5:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League North
Kidderminster vs Macclesfield
1:1
Feb 13, 2016 National League
Kidderminster vs Macclesfield
3:1
Oct 10, 2015 National League
Macclesfield vs Kidderminster
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kidderminster Compare

Top Goalscorer Faakye R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnelly K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Macclesfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kidderminster 49 / 100
Macclesfield 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kidderminster Macclesfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kidderminster scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Macclesfield let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Kidderminster stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kidderminster VS Macclesfield
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kidderminster

(Home)
08 Aug
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Kidderminster
01 Aug
Stourbridge
0 : 5
Kidderminster
28 Jul
Kidderminster
0 : 0
Alvechurch
25 Jul
Stratford
0 : 5
Kidderminster
18 Jul
Halesowen
0 : 2
Kidderminster
Page 1 of 6

Macclesfield

(Away)
08 Aug
Marine
0 : 1
Macclesfield
01 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 0
United of Manchester
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1
Macclesfield
25 Jul
Altrincham
2 : 5
Macclesfield
21 Jul
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Shields -
TBD -
Buxton 4
Scarborough Athletic 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Macclesfield 2
Chester 1
Semi-finals
South Shields 1
Buxton 0
Kidderminster 3
Macclesfield 1
Final
South Shields 0
Kidderminster 2