Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kiffen vs HPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Toolon Pallokentta, Helsinki
Kiffen Logo

Kiffen

5 - 1
FT
HPS Logo

HPS

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ryhanen T.
42' Event
Partanen J.
46'
Sub
Thurling B. In: Mehmeti E.
Out: Thurling B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between Kiffen and HPS finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiffen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Kiffen
35%
Draws
10%
HPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kiffen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiffen come out ahead of HPS on wins alone.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Kiffen taking it.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kiffen Clean Sheet 11%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiffen HPS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.14 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Kiffen vs HPS
5:1
Jun 12, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs Kiffen
1:2
Sep 4, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Kiffen vs HPS
2:3
Jul 25, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
HPS vs Kiffen
1:0
May 23, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Kiffen vs HPS
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiffen Compare

Top Goalscorer Partanen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haajanen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryhanen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiffen 83 / 100
HPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiffen HPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiffen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kiffen scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Kiffen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: HPS conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kiffen VS HPS
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiffen

(Home)
22 Aug
Kiffen
5 : 1
HPS
15 Aug
PuiU Helsinki
1 : 3
Kiffen
07 Aug
Kiffen
1 : 0
Union Plaani
01 Aug
MyPa
0 : 0
Kiffen
25 Jul
Kiffen
1 : 1
HIFK
Page 1 of 6

HPS

(Away)
22 Aug
Kiffen
5 : 1
HPS
15 Aug
HPS
0 : 3
Union Plaani
07 Aug
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
2 : 2
HPS
01 Aug
HPS
5 : 5
HIFK
25 Jul
Atlantis
5 : 3
HPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 18 12 3 3 41:24 39
2 PEPO 18 11 4 3 36:23 37
3 Atlantis 18 10 2 6 62:44 32
4 HIFK 18 7 6 5 39:33 27
5 HPS 18 7 4 7 39:41 25
6 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 18 5 8 5 33:31 23
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 35:35 23
8 PuiU Helsinki 18 4 4 10 26:38 16
9 MyPa 18 4 3 11 20:39 15
10 Union Plaani 18 4 2 12 19:42 14
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)