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Kifisia vs AEL Larissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Athens
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Greek Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kifisia at 1.24 goals for, 1.34 against; AEL Larissa at 1.14 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Kifisia slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Kifisia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kifisia
30%
Draws
23%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kifisia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AEL Larissa haven't matched Kifisia's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Kifisia taking it.
  • Kifisia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kifisia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kifisia Clean Sheet 17%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kifisia AEL Larissa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Kifisia vs AEL Larissa
3:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Kifisia vs AEL Larissa
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:1
May 11, 2025 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kifisia 75 / 100
AEL Larissa 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kifisia AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kifisia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kifisia's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AEL Larissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Kifisia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kifisia VS AEL Larissa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kifisia

(Home)
27 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Kifisia
24 Oct
Iraklis FC
2 : 3
Kifisia
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
11 Oct
Kifisia
2 : 0
Panetolikos
19 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 2
Kifisia
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AEL Larissa

(Away)
24 Oct
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
18 Oct
AEL Larissa
0 : 0
Panserraikos
11 Oct
Marko
1 : 0
AEL Larissa
03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2
AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
PAOK B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 OFI Crete 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
5 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Aris 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 PAOK 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Kifisia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Atromitos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Niki Volos 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
11 Kalamata 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Volos 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
13 Marko 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 AEL Larissa 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
15 Chrisoupolis 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)