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Kigali FC vs APR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kigali FC host APR in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kigali FC at 0.73 goals for, 1.06 against; APR at 1.75 for, 0.89 against. Head-to-head, Kigali FC have won 0 to APR's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.78 xG vs 1.38) point toward APR. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kigali FC
15%
Draws
64%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kigali FC haven't matched APR's recent run of results.
  • APR are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kigali FC Clean Sheet 17%
APR Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kigali FC APR
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 7 25
Draws 12 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Kigali FC
2:1
Nov 28, 2025 Premier League
Kigali FC vs APR
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Kigali FC
2:1
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Kigali FC vs APR
0:1
Apr 15, 2024 Premier League
Kigali FC vs APR
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kigali FC 20 / 100
APR 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kigali FC APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Kigali FC found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (33 games).

APR has conceded goals in 58% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: Kigali FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kigali FC VS APR
0.43 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kigali FC

(Home)
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
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APR

(Away)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
5 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Gorilla 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
12 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Rayon Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Kigali FC 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)