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Kigali FC vs Etoile de L'Est

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Godspower G.

AI Match Summary

Etoile de L'Est in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etoile de L'Est.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kigali FC
20%
Draws
40%
Etoile de L'Est
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Etoile de L'Est have won more games recently than Kigali FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Kigali FC Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kigali FC Etoile de L'Est
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.72 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Kigali FC
0:0
Mar 1, 2024 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Etoile de L'Est
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Kigali FC
0:0
Jun 16, 2022 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Etoile de L'Est
2:0
Jan 27, 2022 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Kigali FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kigali FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Etoile de L'Est Compare

Top Goalscorer Godspower G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kigali FC 41 / 100
Etoile de L'Est 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kigali FC Etoile de L'Est

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kigali FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile de L'Est has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Etoile de L'Est registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kigali FC found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kigali FC VS Etoile de L'Est
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kigali FC

(Home)
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
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Etoile de L'Est

(Away)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)