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Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Bunyaruguru Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Kigezi HomeBoyz Logo

Kigezi HomeBoyz

1 - 0
FT
Bunyaruguru Logo

Bunyaruguru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Kigezi HomeBoyz and Bunyaruguru finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kigezi HomeBoyz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kigezi HomeBoyz
15%
Draws
73%
Bunyaruguru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bunyaruguru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kigezi HomeBoyz come out ahead of Bunyaruguru on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Kigezi HomeBoyz Clean Sheet 20%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kigezi HomeBoyz Bunyaruguru
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Bunyaruguru
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kigezi HomeBoyz 32 / 100
Bunyaruguru 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kigezi HomeBoyz Bunyaruguru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kigezi HomeBoyz scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Bunyaruguru lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bunyaruguru has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kigezi HomeBoyz VS Bunyaruguru
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kigezi HomeBoyz

(Home)
15 Sept
Villa
3 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
08 Sept
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 0
Kampala City
29 Aug
Lugazi
2 : 1
Kigezi HomeBoyz
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Page 1 of 6

Bunyaruguru

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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