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Kildare County vs Cherry Orchard

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2003/2004
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Kildare County advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kildare County
15%
Draws
49%
Cherry Orchard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherry Orchard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cherry Orchard come out ahead of Kildare County on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Cherry Orchard taking it.
  • Cherry Orchard arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kildare County, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kildare County Clean Sheet 10%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kildare County Cherry Orchard
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 5 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.81 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2003 FAI Cup
Kildare County vs Cherry Orchard
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kildare County 10 / 100
Cherry Orchard 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kildare County Cherry Orchard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherry Orchard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherry Orchard let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Cherry Orchard lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kildare County scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kildare County VS Cherry Orchard
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
3.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kildare County

(Home)
07 Nov
Kildare County
1 : 5
Shelbourne
31 Oct
Waterford
2 : 0
Kildare County
23 Oct
Kildare County
1 : 2
Wexford
16 Oct
Monaghan United
6 : 1
Kildare County
09 Oct
Limerick
2 : 3
Kildare County
Page 1 of 7

Cherry Orchard

(Away)
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3
Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0
Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2
Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1
Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Portmarnock 0
Dublin City 1
St Mochta's 0
Cherry Orchard 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Kildare County 3
Drogheda 2
Finn Harps 1
UC Dublin 2
Belgrove 0
Skerries Town 1
Monaghan United 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 2
Galway United 2
Loughshinny United 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Derry City 1
Shelbourne 2
Cork City 0
Moyle Park 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 3
Home Farm 1
Athlone 3
Bray 6
Limerick 2
Kilkenny City 1
Tolka 1
Longford 4
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Dublin City 0
Cherry Orchard 0
Kildare County 1
Drogheda 2
UC Dublin 0
Skerries Town 0
Bohemians 3
Galway United 2
Derry City 1
Shelbourne 2
Sligo Rovers 3
Waterford 2
Bray 1
Limerick 1
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 2
Kildare County 1
Drogheda 1
Bohemians 4
Galway United 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 3
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Final
St. Patricks 0
Longford 2