Sport Picks
Killymoon vs Carrick Rangers
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup 2011/2012 
Match Events
25'
25'
26'
26'
39'
39'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Carrick Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrick Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Carrick Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
- Carrick Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Carrick Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Carrick Rangers, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Carrick Rangers have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Killymoon Clean Sheet 15%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Killymoon | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2012 Irish League Cup
Killymoon vs Carrick Rangers
0:5
Jan 14, 2012 Irish Cup
Killymoon vs Carrick Rangers
1:3
Jan 10, 2009 NIFL Championship
Killymoon vs Carrick Rangers
0:4
Oct 11, 2008 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs Killymoon
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Killymoon 10 / 100
Carrick Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Killymoon Carrick Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Killymoon scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Carrick Rangers has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Carrick Rangers lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Carrick Rangers
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Killymoon
(Home) 20 Aug
Fivemiletown
: Killymoon
22 Aug
Seapatrick
1 : 0 Killymoon
07 Dec
Harland & Wolff
8 : 1 Killymoon
13 Aug
Killymoon
3 : 4 Lurgan Celtic
12 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 4 Glentoran
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Killymoon
3 : 4 Lurgan Celtic
12 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 4 Glentoran
08 Dec
Killymoon
4 : 2 Dromara
27 Aug
Killymoon
0 : 5 Carrick Rangers
14 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 3 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 4
Carrick Rangers
(Away) 15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2 Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0 Portadown
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8 Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0 Ards
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3 Ballymena
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2 Carrick Rangers
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8 Carrick Rangers
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5 Carrick Rangers
18 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 3 Carrick Rangers
06 May
Dungannon
3 : 1 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Downpatrick 0
Islandmagee 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 4
Sirocco 3
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Immaculata 2
Crumlin Star 0
TBD -
Banbridge -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Iveagh Utd 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Derriaghy 1
Ballynahinch United 0
TBD -
Queens University -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
Mountjoy 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Bangor Old Boys 0
Foundry 1
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Dromara 1
Newbuildings 6
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 0
Warrenpoint 1
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard 3
Tobermore 1
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 6
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
Limavady 0
Institute 2
Ards 3
Annagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 3
Glebe 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne 3
PSNI 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Immaculata 1
Banbridge 4
Bangor FC 3
Portstewart 0
Iveagh Utd 1
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 2
Queens University 0
Knockbreda 1
Dergview 5
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Chimney 0
Loughgall 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Ards Rangers 2
Armagh 0
Newbuildings 3
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
Killymoon 3
Ballyclare 2
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 1
Glenavon 2
Ballinamallard 3
Dundela 0
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Newington FC 1
Glentoran 0
Larne 1
Dungannon 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 0
Bangor FC 2
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 1
Dergview 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 2
Coagh Utd 4
Loughgall 3
Dunmurry Rec 1
Newbuildings 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Killymoon 1
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 7
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 0
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 3
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 0
Newington FC 0
Dungannon 3
Newry City 6
Ballymoney 1
Derriaghy 1
Ballymena 3
Coagh Utd 5
Newbuildings 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 0
Donegal 1
Dungannon 2
Newry City 3
Ballymena 0
Coagh Utd 0
Linfield 4
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 0
Newry City 0
Linfield 7
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 4
