Sport Picks
Killymoon vs Lurgan Celtic
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-4, with Lurgan Celtic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lurgan Celtic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Killymoon carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lurgan Celtic a 90% chance of winning this.
- Killymoon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lurgan Celtic, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Killymoon Clean Sheet 20%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Killymoon | Lurgan Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2013 Irish League Cup
Killymoon vs Lurgan Celtic
3:4
Apr 2, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Lurgan Celtic vs Killymoon
2:2
Mar 8, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Killymoon vs Lurgan Celtic
2:2
Apr 3, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Killymoon vs Lurgan Celtic
2:3
Nov 21, 2009 IFA Championship 2
Lurgan Celtic vs Killymoon
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Killymoon 10 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Killymoon Lurgan Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lurgan Celtic conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Killymoon scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Difficult form: Lurgan Celtic registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lurgan Celtic
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Killymoon
(Home) 20 Aug
Fivemiletown
: Killymoon
22 Aug
Seapatrick
1 : 0 Killymoon
07 Dec
Harland & Wolff
8 : 1 Killymoon
13 Aug
Killymoon
3 : 4 Lurgan Celtic
12 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 4 Glentoran
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Killymoon
3 : 4 Lurgan Celtic
12 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 4 Glentoran
08 Dec
Killymoon
4 : 2 Dromara
27 Aug
Killymoon
0 : 5 Carrick Rangers
14 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 3 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 4
Lurgan Celtic
(Away) 27 Aug
Crusaders
: Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
: Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3 Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
: St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1 Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7
27 Aug
Crusaders
: Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
: Lurgan Celtic
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1 Lurgan Celtic
21 Apr
Limavady
6 : 0 Lurgan Celtic
14 Apr
Dergview
8 : 0 Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ards -
TBD -
Tobermore 0
Wakehurst 1
Larne 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Dungannon -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Donegal -
TBD -
Killymoon 3
Lurgan Celtic 4
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
Harland & Wolff 1
Armagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Loughgall 3
Moyola 2
TBD -
Coleraine -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Annagh 1
Ballyclare 2
Knockbreda 1
Carrick Rangers 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Portadown -
TBD -
Limavady 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Coagh Utd 3
Dergview 0
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Queens University 0
Banbridge 4
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
1/16-finals
Ards 5
Wakehurst 0
Larne 0
Dungannon 1
Institute 2
Glebe 0
PSNI 0
Glenavon 6
Bangor FC 3
Warrenpoint 2
Donegal 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Dundela 8
Chimney 1
Harland & Wolff 0
Cliftonville 3
Crusaders 3
Newington FC 1
Loughgall 1
Coleraine 2
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Knockbreda 0
Linfield 2
Portadown 4
Sport & Leisure 0
Coagh Utd 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Ballinamallard 3
Banbridge 0
Ballymoney 2
Ballymena 3
1/8-finals
Ards 2
Dungannon 1
Institute 1
Glenavon 4
Bangor FC 8
Lurgan Celtic 1
Dundela 0
Cliftonville 5
Crusaders 4
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
Portadown 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 3
Quarter-finals
Ards 4
Glenavon 3
Bangor FC 0
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 2
Linfield 1
Portadown 0
Ballymena 4
Semi-finals
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Crusaders 4
Ballymena 3
Final
Cliftonville 1
Crusaders 0
