Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kilmarnock host Aberdeen in the Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Aberdeen have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Kilmarnock have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.54. Head-to-head, Kilmarnock have won 1 to Aberdeen's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.44, favoring Aberdeen. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kilmarnock
20%
Draws
40%
Aberdeen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdeen have won more games recently than Kilmarnock.
  • Aberdeen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 16%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock Aberdeen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Cup
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
1:2
Sep 5, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 19 / 100
Aberdeen 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock Aberdeen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Aberdeen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kilmarnock went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS Aberdeen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)
24 Oct
Falkirk
3 : 0
Kilmarnock
17 Oct
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Motherwell
10 Oct
Rangers
3 : 1
Kilmarnock
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 6

Aberdeen

(Away)
24 Oct
Dundee Utd
3 : 2
Aberdeen
17 Oct
Aberdeen
3 : 1
St. Mirren
11 Oct
Aberdeen
0 : 1
St Johnstone
03 Oct
Dunfermline
1 : 4
Aberdeen
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 10 9 0 1 25:6 27
2 Rangers 10 7 2 1 17:7 23
3 Hearts 10 6 1 3 22:15 19
4 Dundee Utd 10 4 3 3 14:14 15
5 Dundee FC 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
6 St. Mirren 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
7 Falkirk 10 3 3 4 12:12 12
8 St Johnstone 10 3 3 4 11:15 12
9 Aberdeen 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
10 Motherwell 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
11 Kilmarnock 10 2 2 6 10:23 8
12 Hibernian 10 2 1 7 10:16 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)