Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kilmarnock host Celtic in the Premiership. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kilmarnock have averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Celtic's 2.13 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Kilmarnock have won 0 to Celtic's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.31) point toward Celtic. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kilmarnock
22%
Draws
18%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kilmarnock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Celtic have won more games recently than Kilmarnock.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Kilmarnock taking it.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Celtic have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 18%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock Celtic
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Celtic
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
4:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Celtic
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
5:1
Jan 18, 2025 Scottish Cup
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 58 / 100
Celtic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kilmarnock scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Kilmarnock stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS Celtic
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)
25 Jul
Peterhead
1 : 0
Kilmarnock
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Hamilton
18 Jul
Elgin City
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Raith
04 Jul
Linfield
2 : 3
Kilmarnock
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Celtic

(Away)
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Celtic
07 Jul
Shelbourne
1 : 1
Celtic
23 May
Celtic
3 : 1
Dunfermline
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Falkirk00000:00
3Hearts00000:00
4Hibernian00000:00
5Kilmarnock00000:00
6Motherwell00000:00
7St. Mirren00000:00
8Dundee FC00000:00
9St Johnstone00000:00
10Celtic00000:00
11Rangers00000:00
12Aberdeen00000:00
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)