Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hogh K.
Assist: Engels A.
26'
Hugill J.
33' Event
Hogh K.
Assist: Nygren B.

AI Match Summary

Celtic in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kilmarnock
20%
Draws
51%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtic have won more games recently than Kilmarnock.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Celtic taking it.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Celtic have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock Celtic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.67 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Celtic
1:5
Feb 15, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Celtic
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
4:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Celtic
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Schjonning-Larsen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogh K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Nygren B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 26 / 100
Celtic 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Celtic has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Kilmarnock stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS Celtic
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
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Celtic

(Away)
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)