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Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kilmarnock host St Johnstone in the Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kilmarnock have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against St Johnstone's 1.81 scored and 0.78 conceded. Head-to-head, Kilmarnock have won 2 to St Johnstone's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 4:3. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.25) point toward St Johnstone. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kilmarnock
30%
Draws
37%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • St Johnstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 19%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock St Johnstone
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.59 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
4:3
May 3, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 32 / 100
St Johnstone 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Kilmarnock scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Kilmarnock has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St Johnstone let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS St Johnstone
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)
17 Oct
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Motherwell
10 Oct
Rangers
3 : 1
Kilmarnock
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

St Johnstone

(Away)
17 Oct
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Dundee Utd
11 Oct
Aberdeen
0 : 1
St Johnstone
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)