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Kilmarnock W vs Dundee Utd W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Stout S.
Assist: Gray C.
64' Event
Mooney I.
86' Event
Codegoni A.
Assist: Marnie L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kilmarnock W
15%
Draws
34%
Dundee Utd W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilmarnock W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Kilmarnock W have won more games recently than Dundee Utd W.
  • Dundee Utd W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Kilmarnock W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundee Utd W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kilmarnock W Clean Sheet 10%
Dundee Utd W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock W Dundee Utd W
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 0
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.33 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.7 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Kilmarnock W vs Dundee Utd W
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 SWPL Cup Women
Dundee Utd W vs Kilmarnock W
1:2
May 23, 2024 SWPL 1 Women
Dundee Utd W vs Kilmarnock W
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 SWPL Cup Women
Kilmarnock W vs Dundee Utd W
0:3
Aug 29, 2021 SWPL Cup Women
Kilmarnock W vs Dundee Utd W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stout S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mooney I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Dundee Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Codegoni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock W 26 / 100
Dundee Utd W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock W Dundee Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundee Utd W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundee Utd W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Kilmarnock W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: Kilmarnock W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock W VS Dundee Utd W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock W

(Home)
13 Sept
Kilmarnock W
1 : 8
Hibernian W
09 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 3
Motherwell W
05 Aug
Falkirk FCF W
0 : 3
Kilmarnock W
02 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 1
Dundee Utd W
26 Jul
Boroughmuir W
0 : 2
Kilmarnock W
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Dundee Utd W

(Away)
26 Aug
Gartcairn W
4 : 3
Dundee Utd W
09 Aug
Queen's Park W
3 : 4
Dundee Utd W
05 Aug
Dundee Utd W
0 : 1
Aberdeen W
02 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 1
Dundee Utd W
26 Jul
Dundee Utd W
3 : 0
Renfrew W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montrose W 4 4 0 0 25:3 12
2 Motherwell W 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Spartans W 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Hamilton W 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
5 Kilmarnock W 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
6 Boroughmuir W 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 Livingston W 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
8 Gartcairn W 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
9 Dundee Utd W 4 2 0 2 7:6 5
10 Queen's Park W 4 1 0 3 7:9 4
11 Renfrew W 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
12 St Johnstone W 4 1 0 3 9:16 3
13 Aberdeen W 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Falkirk FCF W 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)