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Kilmarnock W vs Glasgow City W

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kilmarnock W play Glasgow City W in the Scottish Cup Women 2023. Glasgow City W are favorites here. Recently, Kilmarnock W averaged 1.11 goals scored and 3.3 conceded. Glasgow City W averaged 3.61 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. In past meetings, Kilmarnock W won 0, Glasgow City W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 19, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Kilmarnock W and 4.00 for Glasgow City W. This points to a Glasgow City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kilmarnock W
15%
Draws
63%
Glasgow City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glasgow City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Kilmarnock W picked up more points recently compared to Glasgow City W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Kilmarnock W Clean Sheet 10%
Glasgow City W Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock W Glasgow City W
Matches Played 27 44
Wins 8 30
Draws 1 8
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.11 3.61
Goals Conceded 3.3 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Scottish Cup Women
Kilmarnock W vs Glasgow City W
0:3
Feb 25, 2018 SWPL Cup Women
Glasgow City W vs Kilmarnock W
7:0
Sep 13, 2015 Scottish Cup Women
Glasgow City W vs Kilmarnock W
11:0
Apr 8, 2012 SWPL 1 Women
Kilmarnock W vs Glasgow City W
1:15
Mar 11, 2012 SWPL Cup Women
Kilmarnock W vs Glasgow City W
0:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Glasgow City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock W 22 / 100
Glasgow City W 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock W Glasgow City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glasgow City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Glasgow City W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kilmarnock W attacking → ← attacking Glasgow City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock W scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Glasgow City W let in goals in 43% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 9.40 goals.

Kilmarnock W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Glasgow City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 98
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
6.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38