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Kimberley vs Alvarado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Jose Antonio Valle, Mar del Plata
Kimberley Logo

Kimberley

0 - 2
FT
Alvarado Logo

Alvarado

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Tello L.
30'
Manas F.
30'
Sosa G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Kimberley and Alvarado finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvarado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Kimberley
35%
Draws
40%
Alvarado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvarado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alvarado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 20%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kimberley Alvarado
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 12 11
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Alvarado
0:2
Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Alvarado
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Kimberley
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kimberley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Alvarado Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorgerino C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cervera G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kimberley 32 / 100
Alvarado 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kimberley Alvarado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kimberley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kimberley scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Alvarado let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kimberley VS Alvarado
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kimberley

(Home)
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3
Kimberley
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2
Alvarado
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0
Kimberley
Page 1 of 6

Alvarado

(Away)
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0
Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2
Biblioteca Atenas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)