Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kimberley vs Alvarado

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Jose Antonio Valle, Mar del Plata
Kimberley Logo

Kimberley

2 - 2
FT
Alvarado Logo

Alvarado

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Cervera G.
25' Event
Loscalso T.
54' Event
Castillo S.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Kimberley and Alvarado finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Kimberley
35%
Draws
40%
Alvarado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvarado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alvarado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kimberley's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 68%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kimberley Alvarado
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Alvarado
0:2
Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Alvarado
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Kimberley
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kimberley Compare

Top Goalscorer Loscalso T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Alvarado Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervera G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kimberley 51 / 100
Alvarado 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kimberley Alvarado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kimberley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kimberley found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Alvarado let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kimberley VS Alvarado
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kimberley

(Home)
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3
Kimberley
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2
Alvarado
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0
Kimberley
Page 1 of 6

Alvarado

(Away)
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0
Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2
Biblioteca Atenas
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2
Alvarado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)