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Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania 2025 Lightwood Park, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mies N.
63' Event
Douce K.
77' Event
Burt L.

AI Match Summary

Kingborough Lions in this NPL Tasmania 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kingborough Lions
17%
Draws
13%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kingborough Lions lately — more wins on the board than Clarence Zebras.
  • Kingborough Lions are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kingborough Lions have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 68%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kingborough Lions Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 3.63 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
0:4
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
1:4
May 10, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
0:4
Aug 9, 2024 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Mies N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Douce K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Burt L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kingborough Lions 77 / 100
Clarence Zebras 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kingborough Lions Clarence Zebras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kingborough Lions scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Clarence Zebras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Kingborough Lions has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kingborough Lions VS Clarence Zebras
3.63 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kingborough Lions

(Home)
18 Jul
Launceston City
1 : 3
Kingborough Lions
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
28 Jun
Kingborough Lions
2 : 1
Devonport
21 Jun
Kingborough Lions
1 : 1
South Hobart
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Clarence Zebras

(Away)
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
27 Jun
Clarence Zebras
1 : 1
Launceston United
20 Jun
Devonport
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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