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Kingborough Lions vs South East United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Lightwood Park
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Mies N.
83' Event
Badger J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Kingborough Lions and South East United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kingborough Lions
6%
Draws
4%
South East United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kingborough Lions come out ahead of South East United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kingborough Lions a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 68%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kingborough Lions South East United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 3.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South East United vs Kingborough Lions
0:9
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs South East United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Mies N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badger J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

South East United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kingborough Lions 95 / 100
South East United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kingborough Lions South East United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kingborough Lions's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

South East United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Kingborough Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kingborough Lions VS South East United
3.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%