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Kingston City vs Box Hill

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Casco A.
17' Event
Hart L.
Own Goal
26' Event
Cormick N.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Kingston City and Box Hill finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Box Hill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kingston City
20%
Draws
33%
Box Hill
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kingston City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kingston City's 1.53 goals per match outpaces what Box Hill have produced (1.37).
  • Model gives Kingston City a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kingston City Clean Sheet 11%
Box Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kingston City Box Hill
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Box Hill vs Kingston City
3:1
Mar 13, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Kingston City vs Box Hill
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kingston City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Box Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Casco A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cormick N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kingston City 83 / 100
Box Hill 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kingston City Box Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kingston City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Box Hill conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Kingston City's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Kingston City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kingston City VS Box Hill
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kingston City

(Home)
29 Aug
Eastern Lions
2 : 2
Kingston City
22 Aug
Malvern City
1 : 3
Kingston City
15 Aug
Altona City
1 : 4
Kingston City
08 Aug
Moreland City
3 : 5
Kingston City
31 Jul
Kingston City
0 : 1
Springvale
Page 1 of 7

Box Hill

(Away)
12 Sept
Bayside Argonauts
3 : 2
Box Hill
29 Aug
Goulburn Valley Suns
3 : 0
Box Hill
21 Aug
Box Hill
1 : 0
Nunawading City
15 Aug
Moreland City
2 : 2
Box Hill
07 Aug
Bayside Argonauts
0 : 1
Box Hill
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)