Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kinondoni MC vs Coastal Union

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mashaka R.
8' Event
Gwalala G.
Assist: Mashaka R.
12'
Mosha N. J.

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kinondoni MC
22%
Draws
60%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Coastal Union have won more games recently than Kinondoni MC.
  • Coastal Union are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 12%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kinondoni MC Coastal Union
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Coastal Union
1:3
Jan 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Kinondoni MC
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Kinondoni MC
1:1
Aug 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Coastal Union
1:1
May 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Kinondoni MC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kinondoni MC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashaka R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gwalala G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kinondoni MC 19 / 100
Coastal Union 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kinondoni MC Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Coastal Union conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kinondoni MC found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (32 games).

Coastal Union's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kinondoni MC VS Coastal Union
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kinondoni MC

(Home)
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3
Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3
Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

Coastal Union

(Away)
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1
Pamba
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1
Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0
Coastal Union
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)